Validation of Software for Bayesian Models Using Posterior Quantiles

نویسندگان

  • Samantha R. Cook
  • Andrew Gelman
  • Donald B. Rubin
چکیده

We present a simulation-based method designed to establish that software developed to fit a specific Bayesian model works properly, capitalizing on properties of Bayesian posterior distributions. We illustrate the validation technique with two examples. The validation method is shown to find errors in software when they exist and, moreover, the validation output can be informative about the nature and location of such errors.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Comparison of Linear and Threshold Models for Estimation Genetic and Phenotypic Parameters of Success of Conception at First Service and Inseminations to Conception in Holstein Cattles in East Azarbayjan Province

In this research genetic and phenotypic parameters were estimated using linear and threshold models, for reproductive traits, data from 6 large industrial dairy herd of East Azerbaijan province collected by Agriculture Jihad Organization during 10 years (2001-2010). Best linear unbiased predictions of traits breeding values were estimated using Restricted Maximum Likelihood method by WOMBAT sof...

متن کامل

Comparison of Linear and Threshold Models for Estimation Genetic and Phenotypic Parameters of Success of Conception at First Service and Inseminations to Conception in Holstein Cattles in East Azarbayjan Province

In this research genetic and phenotypic parameters were estimated using linear and threshold models, for reproductive traits, data from 6 large industrial dairy herd of East Azerbaijan province collected by Agriculture Jihad Organization during 10 years (2001-2010). Best linear unbiased predictions of traits breeding values were estimated using Restricted Maximum Likelihood method by WOMBAT sof...

متن کامل

A Validation Test Naive Bayesian Classification Algorithm and Probit Regression as Prediction Models for Managerial Overconfidence in Iran's Capital Market

Corporate directors are influenced by overconfidence, which is one of the personality traits of individuals; it may take irrational decisions that will have a significant impact on the company's performance in the long run. The purpose of this paper is to validate and compare the Naive Bayesian Classification algorithm and probit regression in the prediction of Management's overconfident at pre...

متن کامل

Bayesian Sample Size Computing for Estimation of Binomial Proportions using p-tolerance with the Lowest Posterior Loss

This paper is devoted to computing the sample size of binomial distribution with Bayesian approach. The quadratic loss function is considered and three criterions are applied to obtain p-tolerance regions with the lowest posterior loss. These criterions are: average length, average coverage and worst outcome.

متن کامل

Genetic Properties of Some Economic Traits in Isfahan Native Fowl Using Bayesian and REML Methods

The objective of the present study was to estimate heritability values for some performance and egg quality traits of native fowl in Isfahan breeding center using REML and Bayesian approaches. The records were about 51521 and 975 for performance and egg quality traits, respectively. At the first step, variance components were estimated for body weight at hatch (BW0), body weight at 8 weeks of a...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2004